{"id":7417,"date":"2025-06-18T07:41:37","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T07:41:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/?p=7417"},"modified":"2025-06-18T12:25:46","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T12:25:46","slug":"18-haziran-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/2025\/06\/18-haziran-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"18 Haziran 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u0130spanya elektrik kesintisinin<\/a> 4 a\u015famas\u0131. Voltaj karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u015febeke frekans dalgalanmalar\u0131, \u00fcretim \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131, sistem \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc. Archive<\/a> kopyas\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rapor adresi: https:\/\/www.lamoncloa.gob.es\/consejodeministros\/resumenes\/Documents\/2025\/Informe-no-confidencial-Comite-de-analisis-28A.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zetle sistem i\u015fletmecisi reaktif fazlal\u0131\u011f\u0131, voltaj art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 emecek yeteri kadar geleneksel santral ya da \u00f6nlem devreye almam\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

“28 Nisan’a kadar REE, voltaj\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacak 10 termal santral, \u00fc\u00e7 n\u00fckleer grup ve yedi kombine gaz d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc programlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu tesislerden biri \u00f6nceki \u00f6\u011fleden sonra mevcut olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyard\u0131, ancak operat\u00f6r hesaplamalar\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131 ve de\u011fi\u015ftirmemeye karar verdi. Bakanl\u0131\u011fa g\u00f6re, ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 senkron elektrik santrallerinin nihai say\u0131s\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesiydi. Elektrik kesintisinden dakikalar \u00f6nce, yeni bir tesisin ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in emir verdiler- kombine bir gaz d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc – ancak sadece kesintiden sonra mevcuttu. Zaten ge\u00e7 olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buna ek olarak H\u00fck\u00fcmet, o s\u0131rada faaliyet g\u00f6steren senkron santrallerin olmas\u0131 gerekenden daha az reaktif emmedi\u011fini ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 voltaja katk\u0131da bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Raporda, “Voltaj\u0131 kontrol etme yetene\u011fiyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olan ve teknik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalarla programland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bunun i\u00e7in \u00f6zellikle \u00f6d\u00fcllendirilen \u00fcretim, ayarlanan parametrelere uyum sa\u011flamam\u0131\u015f olabilir” deniyor.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Belge ayr\u0131ca analiz edilen yenilenebilir, kojenerasyon ve at\u0131k tesislerin %22’sindeki sorunlar da dahil olmak \u00fczere di\u011fer unsurlara da i\u015faret ediyor. “[Tabi olduklar\u0131] g\u00fc\u00e7 fakt\u00f6r\u00fcne g\u00f6re yan\u0131t vermemi\u015f olabileceklerini ve bunun da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gerilimlerin ba\u011flam\u0131na katk\u0131da bulunabilece\u011fini” garanti ediyor.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Voltaj dalgalanmalar\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

1.a\u015fama – \u015febekede frekans dalgalanmalar\u0131. “\u0130lk atipik sal\u0131n\u0131m 12:03’te kaydedildi ve REE’yi, k\u0131tan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131na bula\u015fmay\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra s\u0131f\u0131ra giden “a\u011f\u0131n ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (meshing) art\u0131rmak – d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck taleple k\u0131s\u0131tlanan – veya Fransa ile ara ba\u011flant\u0131 ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak gibi” bunu yumu\u015fatmak i\u00e7in protokol \u00f6nlemlerini uygulamaya zorlad\u0131. Sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131 yumu\u015fatmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131lar, ancak gedava de\u011fildi: bu \u00f6nlemler “yan etki olarak gerilimlerde bir art\u0131\u015fa neden oldu.””. 12:16’da tekrarlad\u0131, REE yine ayn\u0131 \u015feyi yapt\u0131. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Faz 2 – \u00dcretim kayb\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“12.32 boyunca voltajda s\u00fcrekli bir art\u0131\u015f var. Rapora g\u00f6re, REE ile Portekiz e\u015fde\u011feri (REN) aras\u0131nda 12:20’de 12:30 i\u00e7in kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lan \u0130spanya-Portekiz de\u011fi\u015fiminin ayarlanmas\u0131n\u0131 izleyen “uluslararas\u0131 ara ba\u011flant\u0131larda ihracatta bir azalma” ile \u00e7ak\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Elektrik kesintisinden \u00f6nceki an. Gerginlik y\u00fckselir ve devam eder; ve \u00fcreten santral kopmalar\u0131 ba\u015flar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rapor, 1. olay\u0131 Granada’da tan\u0131mlanamayan, ancak “yenilenebilir \u00fcretim kayb\u0131” olarak nitelendirilen bir kopukluk olarak nitelendiriyor. Ard\u0131ndan Badajoz, Segovia ve Sevilla’da kesintiler takip edilir. Bu olaylar\u0131 a\u011fda frekans d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri olarak zaten g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck:”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

“<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu kopukluklar durdurulamaz bir zinciri aktive etti. Bu raporda ifade edilmi\u015ftir: “Sistem, voltaj\u0131 kontrol etme kapasitesi az olan bir durumdayd\u0131 [\u2026] Bu ba\u011flamda, yenilenebilir \u00fcretimin herhangi bir ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n kesilmesi, en az iki \u015fekilde voltajda bir art\u0131\u015f anlam\u0131na gelir [reaktif ve devred\u0131\u015f\u0131 hatlar\u0131n daha az emilimi]. Bu kopukluklar\u0131n her biri, do\u011fas\u0131 ne olursa olsun, sistemi, yeterli reaktif enerjiyi emen sistemlerin veya ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yoklu\u011funda, geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc olmayan bir nokta haline geldi\u011fi bir noktaya yakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Belirli alanlardaki dengesizlikleri s\u0131n\u0131rlamakla ilgili oldu\u011fu g\u00fcvenlik duvarlar\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmad\u0131. Bakanl\u0131\u011fa g\u00f6re, pompa tesislerinin ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 kesildi ve alt\u0131 adede kadar y\u00fck yeniden y\u00fckleme manevras\u0131 denendi. Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z ya da ters etki yapt\u0131lar.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Faz 3 – Sistem \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc – Biliyorsunuz, sistem \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rapora g\u00f6re bir hafta \u00f6nce de voltaj y\u00fckselmesi var<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Almanya’da<\/a> g\u00fcne\u015fin de\u011ferinde daha da dibe gidiliyor<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"chart,<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’den ge\u00e7en petrol\u00fcn<\/a> da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran’da limanlara<\/a> g\u00f6re petrol ihracat\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran<\/a> s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 ne kadar ne zaman de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz<\/a> istatistikleri<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Arjantin<\/a> LNG g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Gemi sigorta bedellerind<\/a>e art\u0131\u015f : “D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck sigorta komisyoncusu Marsh McLennan’a g\u00f6re, bu hafta itibariyle, \u0130ran ve Umman aras\u0131nda K\u00f6rfez’i Arap Denizi’ne ba\u011flayan dar bir su yolu olan bo\u011fazdan ve daha geni\u015f K\u00f6rfez b\u00f6lgesinden ge\u00e7en gemiler i\u00e7in g\u00f6vde ve makine sigortas\u0131 maliyeti, geminin de\u011ferinin y\u00fczde 0,125’inden yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,2’ye y\u00fckseldi. Bu, 100 milyon dolarl\u0131k bir geminin teminat maliyetini 125.000 dolardan 200.000 dolara itiyor.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in Elektrik \u00fcretimi (jkempenergy.com)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"Displaying<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"Displaying<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Petrol opsiyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re sald\u0131r\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 (FT- Unhedged)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Dizel fiyatlar\u0131<\/a> da iyi s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015f. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa Rusya’dan dizel alm\u0131yor. Ortado\u011fu ve Asya’dan alacaklard\u0131. \u015eimdi Ortado\u011fu risk primi de artt\u0131. Rus ham petrol\u00fcnden dizel de yasaklan\u0131rsa, Hindistan ve di\u011fer \u00fclkelerden gelen dizel de riske girer<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Rafineri<\/a> \u00fcr\u00fcnleri<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

S&P K\u00fcresel Petrol<\/a> endeksi<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

K\u00fcresel petrol talebi, sekt\u00f6rlere g\u00f6re<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130spanya elektrik kesintisinin 4 a\u015famas\u0131. Voltaj karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u015febeke frekans dalgalanmalar\u0131, \u00fcretim \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131, sistem \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc. Archive kopyas\u0131 Rapor adresi: https:\/\/www.lamoncloa.gob.es\/consejodeministros\/resumenes\/Documents\/2025\/Informe-no-confidencial-Comite-de-analisis-28A.pdf \u00d6zetle sistem i\u015fletmecisi reaktif fazlal\u0131\u011f\u0131, voltaj art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 emecek yeteri kadar geleneksel santral ya da \u00f6nlem devreye almam\u0131\u015f. “28 Nisan’a kadar REE, voltaj\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacak 10 termal santral, \u00fc\u00e7 n\u00fckleer grup ve yedi kombine gaz d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc … Continue reading 18 Haziran 2025<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7417"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7417"}],"version-history":[{"count":17,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7417\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7449,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7417\/revisions\/7449"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7417"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7417"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7417"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}