Alman Federal \u00c7evre Ajans\u0131 tahminine g\u00f6re Almanya\u2019n\u0131n <\/u><\/span><\/a>emisyonlar\u0131 909\u2019dan 905 milyonton\u2019a d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Almanya\u2019n\u0131n \u201cinan\u0131lmaz pahal\u0131 Energiewende\u201dsi da\u011f\u0131l\u0131yor ve \u00fclke di\u011fer Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin gerisine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Fakat \u015febekede de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir teknolojik geli\u015fme sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n Shell Paris\u2019le uyumlu bir \u201cSky\u201d senaryosu <\/u><\/span><\/a>yay\u0131nlad\u0131. Daha \u00f6nce okyanus ve da\u011flar senaryolar\u0131 2013 tarihliydi. S\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 2C alt\u0131nda tutan senaryo 2070\u2019e kadar \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fimler istiyor. DE\u011fi\u015fim ancak 2030\u2019da ba\u015fl\u0131yor, pil depolama CCS ve geli\u015fmi\u015f biyoyak\u0131tlar ile.<\/p>\n ABD\u2019de so\u011fuk k\u0131\u015f d\u00f6nemi \u201cBomb Cyclone<\/u><\/span><\/a>\u201d\u2019un ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 27 Aral\u0131k 2017-8 Ocak 2018 aras\u0131nda elektri\u011fin %89\u2019u fosil ve n\u00fckleer santrallerden geldi. R\u00fczgar %12 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fc. \u00dczerine 2milyon varil de petrol (fuel oil-dizel) yak\u0131ld\u0131. R\u00fczgar ise %12 daha azd\u0131. Rapor devlet laboratuvar\u0131ndan<\/p>\n Timera Energy<\/u><\/span><\/a> analizi: Avrupa\u2019da devreden \u00e7\u0131kacak kapasitenin ayn\u0131 zamanda esnekli\u011fi de azaltaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Bel\u00e7ika-\u0130ngiltere\u2019de kapasite s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 var, Almanya\u2019da ise rezerv \u00f6nlemleri sadece mevcut kapasiteyi korumaya y\u00f6nelik, yeni esneklik getirmiyor.<\/p>\n Hollanda\u2019n\u0131n <\/u><\/span><\/a>gaz \u00fcretimini depremler sebebiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesinin etkisi;k\u0131\u015ftan yaza 6-7 bcm \u00fcretim de\u011fi\u015fimi vard\u0131, art\u0131k 1 bcm olacak bu de\u011fi\u015fim. Norve\u00e7 yine ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde 3-4 bcm oynarken \u015fimdi 2 bcm alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fecek.<\/p>\n [Makale<\/u><\/span><\/a>] Uzun d\u00f6nemli elektrik maliyetlerinde esneklik de\u011feri kat\u0131lm\u0131yor, bunun kat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n etkisi incelenmi\u015f.<\/p>\n 3 elektrik iletim teknolojisi<\/u><\/span><\/a> ile maliyetler 2 milyar $ azalt\u0131labilir. APFC- geli\u015fmi\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7 ak\u0131\u015f kontrol\u00fc, DLR – dinamik hat y\u00fcklemesi ve topoloji eniyilemesi.<\/p>\n Carnegie Mellon \u00dcniversitesinin Nature Energy<\/u><\/span><\/a>\u2019deki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na g\u00f6re petrol ve gaz \u00fcretimi ve fiyatlarda enerji analistleri giderek daha \u00e7ok yan\u0131l\u0131yor<\/u><\/span><\/a>. Sebebi \u015feyl ve ekonomik oynakl\u0131k olabilirmi\u015f. Fakat makalede hatan\u0131n daha \u00f6ncesinden ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaz\u0131yor.<\/p>\n D\u00fcnki petro-yuan<\/u><\/span><\/a> ticaretinde 4 milyar $\u2019l\u0131k 62 milyon varil petrol elde\u011fi\u015ftirdi. \u00c7in devleti de baz\u0131 \u015firketlerden ticarete girmelerini istemi\u015f. Petrochina, Sinopec, Glencore, Trafigura…WoodMac INE fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Umman(Basra hafif) fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 etkilemesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n Mo\u011folistan\u2019daki <\/u><\/span><\/a>bak\u0131r ve alt\u0131n madeni Oyu Tolgoi\u2019de, Rio Tinto\u2019nun Turquoise hill \u00fczerinden %66 ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 var. Rio Mo\u011folistan\u2019a daha az vergi \u00f6demekle su\u00e7lan\u0131yor ama detaylar\u0131 kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k.<\/p>\n \u0130ngiltere\u2019de r\u00fczgar <\/u><\/span><\/a>1990\u2019lar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f. \u015eimdi santraller ya\u015fland\u0131, ucuz elektri\u011fin kolay y\u00f6ntemi bu santralleri g\u00fcncellemek olabilir.<\/p>\n Brezilya\u2019n\u0131n <\/u><\/span><\/a>gaz \u00fcretimi art\u0131nca, Bolivya\u2019dan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 2019\u2019da bitecek olan 30 mcm\/g\u00fcn olan anla\u015fmas\u0131 bitiyor. Bu s\u00fcreden sonra yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015febilir. B\u00fcy\u00fck hidro kapasitesi sebebiyle LNG ihtiyac\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fse de s\u0131f\u0131rlanm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n ABD\u2019de \u00f6rdek e\u011frisi<\/u><\/span><\/a> (g\u00fcne\u015f \u00fcretiminin sebep oldu\u011fu g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fck e\u011frisi dengesizli\u011fi), 2008\u2019lerde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f. D\u00fczeltmek i\u00e7in co\u011frafik da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m ve b\u00f6lgesel dengesizlik piyasas\u0131, depolama. G\u00fczel bir m\u00fclakat olmu\u015f.<\/p>\n Frans\u0131z devlet \u015firketi EDF 2018-2035 aras\u0131nda 10 milyar $ depolama yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapacak.<\/p>\n Koruma fonlar\u0131n\u0131n petrolde uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 artmaya <\/u><\/span><\/a>devam etti.<\/p>\n Grafikler<\/strong><\/p>\n PetroYuan hacmi o saatlerdeki Brent hacmini a\u015ft\u0131 (zerohedge)<\/a><\/p>\n Avrupa\u2019da gaz \u00fcretimi d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck\u00e7e, sistemdeki gaz esnekli\u011fi de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019de bu seneki so\u011fuk hava dalgas\u0131nda fosil kaynaklar ve n\u00fckleerin sisteme verdi\u011fi deste\u011fi Ulusal Enerji Teknolojileri Laboratuvarlar\u0131 raporlam\u0131\u015f. Uzmanlar ABD enerji sistemi konusunda bug\u00fcn daha \u00e7ok yan\u0131l\u0131yorlar ama sebepleri var. Uzun d\u00f6nemli elektrik maliyetlerine sisteme verilen esneklik dahil de\u011fil. Shell\u2019in Sky senaryosu 2013\u2019teki da\u011f ve okyanusa … Continue reading 27 Mart 2018<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1867"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1867"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1867\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1871,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1867\/revisions\/1871"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1867"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1867"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1867"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/img_5aba95904a52b.png\")
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