{"id":1687,"date":"2018-01-17T16:18:51","date_gmt":"2018-01-17T16:18:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/?p=1687"},"modified":"2018-01-17T16:18:51","modified_gmt":"2018-01-17T16:18:51","slug":"17-ocak-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/2018\/01\/17-ocak-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"17 Ocak 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bug\u00fcn 2 rapor : WEF risk raporunda hava olaylar\u0131, Alt\u0131n Konseyi raporunda sistemik risk t\u0131n\u0131s\u0131 vard\u0131. Oxford Energy\u2019nin ula\u015ft\u0131rma raporunde bu de\u011fi\u015fim y\u0131llar alacak mesaj\u0131 var. IEEE\u2019nin ayl\u0131k ak\u0131ll\u0131 \u015febeke b\u00fcltenindeki t\u00fcm makalelerde yenilenebilirin geldi\u011fi ama \u015febeke sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 da getirdi\u011fi i\u015flenmi\u015f. Elektrik M\u00fchendislerinin bu kadar bu vurguyu yapmas\u0131 bo\u015f de\u011fil, ama hepsi de daha fazla yenilenebilir taraftar\u0131 gibi. \u00c7in petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ihracat\u0131nda rekor k\u0131racak, yani ham petrol ithalat\u0131nda da, ama o zaman di\u011fer rafinericiler ne kazanacak? K\u00fcresel araba \u015firketleri 90 milyar $ elektrikli arabalara harcayacak.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00d6zetler<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnya ekonomik forumunun K\u00fcresel Riskler 2018 <a href=\"http:\/\/www3.weforum.org\/docs\/WEF_GRR18_Report.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>raporuna <\/u><\/span><\/a>g\u00f6re bu seneki korkumuz, u\u00e7 hava olaylar\u0131 ve do\u011fal kazalar. Su krizi vs de var. Her\u015feyin g\u00f6be\u011finde de temel sosyal rahats\u0131zl\u0131klar var.<\/p>\n<p>[<a href=\"https:\/\/smartgrid.ieee.org\/newsletters\/january-2018\/comments-on-doe-staff-report-on-electricity-markets-and-reliability\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>IEEE-SmartGrid#1<\/u><\/span><\/a>] ABD\u2019yi etkileyen 2014 k\u0131\u015f kutup r\u00fczgar\u0131[polar vortex]\u2019de n\u00fckleer ve hidro hari\u00e7 ne yenilenebilir \u00fcretim yapabildi(1GW\/9GW), ne k\u00f6m\u00fcr(k\u00f6m\u00fcr y\u0131\u011f\u0131nlar\u0131 dondu), ne de gaz(evlere gaz verildi). Son so\u011fuklarda da New England %30 petrolden elektrik \u00fcretti.<\/p>\n<p>[<a href=\"https:\/\/smartgrid.ieee.org\/newsletters\/january-2018\/keeping-the-green-lights-on-experiences-from-and-comparison-with-the-australian-national-electricity-market\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>IEEE-SmartGrid#2<\/u><\/span><\/a>] Pek\u00e7ok yenilenebilir kaynak sisteme asenkron yani bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm sonucu ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00f6nen k\u00fctlelerden kurulu senkron sistemin stabilite sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 do\u011fal eylemsizlik[inertia]e sahip de\u011fil. Teknoloji kadar ekonomik modeller \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n<p>[<a href=\"https:\/\/smartgrid.ieee.org\/newsletters\/january-2018\/techno-economic-screening-analysis-for-variable-renewable-energy-sources-a-forward-looking-alternative-for-a-seamless-baseload-generation-retirement\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>IEEE-SmartGrid#3<\/u><\/span><\/a>] Yenilenebilir enerjinin giri\u015fi ile baz y\u00fck santrallerinin \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 e\u011fer daha detayl\u0131 analiz edilmezse, \u015febeke sorunlar\u0131na sebep olabilir. Gerek \u00fcretim, gerek nihai t\u00fcketimin daha s\u0131k ve dinamik modellenmesi analiz edilmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>[<a href=\"https:\/\/smartgrid.ieee.org\/newsletters\/january-2018\/the-impact-of-wind-and-solar-on-wholesale-power-markets-and-generation-assets\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>IEEE-SmartGrid#4<\/u><\/span><\/a>] Yenilenebilirler toptan sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 etkiliyor ama d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar de\u011fil, ABD\u2019de fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerinin ana sebebi do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131. Santrallerin devreden \u00e7\u0131kma sebebi de yenilenebilir de\u011fil, daha \u00e7ok en eski, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck, verimsiz santraller devreden \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n<p>[<a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordenergy.org\/wpcms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/Disruptive-Change-in-the-Transport-Sector-8-Takeaways.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>OxfordEnergy<\/u><\/span><\/a>] \u00c7al\u0131\u015ftay raporu: 90 kg hidrojen tank\u0131nda 5 kg hidrojen depolayabiliyorsun, kompozitlerle ara\u00e7 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclebilir, 5.seviye otonom ara\u00e7lar maliyet d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc sa\u011flasa da enerji talebini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyebilir, pil \u00fcreticileri hammadde artmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen fiyatlar\u0131 artt\u0131rm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/research\/gold-market-2018\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>Alt\u0131n Konseyi<\/u><\/span><\/a> 2018 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporunda pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm var. Sistemik risk d\u00f6nemlerinde alt\u0131n genelde kazand\u0131r\u0131r. Varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131 \u015fi\u015fti, \u00c7in-Hindistan sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.clipperdata.com\/colombia-crude-exports-drop-amid-unrest\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>Kolombiya\u2019da <\/u><\/span><\/a>ate\u015fke\u015f 9 Ocak\u2019da son bulmu\u015f ve ELN enerji altyap\u0131lar\u0131na da sald\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Kolombiya\u2019n\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131 600bin v\/g\u2019den 540bin v\/g\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019in net petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ihracat\u0131 2018\u2019de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-01-16\/the-flow-of-unwanted-oil-from-china-is-set-to-turn-into-a-deluge\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>%31 artarak 46.8 milyon to<\/u><\/span><\/a>n olabilir. \u00c7in devlet \u015firketi CNPC diyor. Rafineri marjlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrlerse, di\u011fer rafineriler o kadar \u00fcretim yapmaz.<\/p>\n<p>[FT$] <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/490be8a0-fad4-11e7-9b32-d7d59aace167\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>Petrol rallisi<\/u><\/span><\/a> neden bitmeyebilir? Petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bug\u00fcn ki fiyat yar\u0131nkinden \u00e7ok yukarda, s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k ve buna backwardation deniyor. Bug\u00fcn 70$\u2019a kontrat sat\u0131p, gelecek aylarda ucuz kontrat alarak, petrol fiyat\u0131 da 70$\u2019da kal\u0131rsa %5 kar. S&amp;P\u2019nin ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 2 misli<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel araba \u015firketleri<a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/the-download\/609988\/90-billion-says-electric-cars-are-the-future\/\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u> elektrikli araba<\/u><\/span><\/a> yapmaya 90 milyar $harcayacak.<\/p>\n<p>ABD k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc Japonya\u2019da <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ktvq.com\/story\/37280282\/cloud-peak-lands-major-deal-to-ship-montana-coal-to-japan\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>k\u00f6m\u00fcr gazla\u015ft\u0131rma tesisi<\/u><\/span><\/a> yollar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa parlamentosu, AB\u2019deki 2030 y\u0131l\u0131 yenilenebilir <a href=\"http:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/eu-unit\/en\/News\/2017\/EU-parliament-votes-renewable-energy\/\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>enerji <\/u><\/span><\/a>hedefini %35 olarak oylad\u0131. Komisyon %27 \u00f6nermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019un altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 oda\u011fa getirmesine haftalar kala, ABD Ticaret Odas\u0131, benzindeki <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/u-s-chamber-of-commerce-to-push-trump-congress-to-raise-the-gas-tax-to-fund-infrastructure\/2018\/01\/16\/e11345f0-fac8-11e7-a46b-a3614530bd87_story.html\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>federal vergiyi<\/u><\/span><\/a> 25cent\/gallon daha artt\u0131racak bir vergi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 pe\u015finde. Mevcut vergi 18.4 cent<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-01-16\/goldman-s-commodity-revenue-said-to-drop-75-to-lowest-on-record\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>GoldmanSachs <\/u><\/span><\/a>tarihinin en k\u00f6t\u00fc emtia performan\u0131s ile seneyi kapatt\u0131. 2017\u2019de net gelir %75 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>New Yok enerji forumu <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nyenergyforum.org\/resources\/\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>sunumlar\u0131 <\/u><\/span><\/a>(sayfaya girince en alta bak\u0131n)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00d6zetler<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Medyan\u0131n NYT \u00f6zelinde alternatif yak\u0131tl\u0131 ara\u00e7lara yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 (1980-2013) (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordenergy.org\/wpcms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/Disruptive-Change-in-the-Transport-Sector-8-Takeaways.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #1155cc;\"><u>OxfordEnergy<\/u><\/span><\/a>)<\/p>\n<p id=\"lpffMtL\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"775\" height=\"419\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1688 \" src=\"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/img_5a5f77642a5ef.png\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/img_5a5f77642a5ef.png 775w, https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/img_5a5f77642a5ef-300x162.png 300w, https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/img_5a5f77642a5ef-768x415.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 775px) 100vw, 775px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bug\u00fcn 2 rapor : WEF risk raporunda hava olaylar\u0131, Alt\u0131n Konseyi raporunda sistemik risk t\u0131n\u0131s\u0131 vard\u0131. Oxford Energy\u2019nin ula\u015ft\u0131rma raporunde bu de\u011fi\u015fim y\u0131llar alacak mesaj\u0131 var. IEEE\u2019nin ayl\u0131k ak\u0131ll\u0131 \u015febeke b\u00fcltenindeki t\u00fcm makalelerde yenilenebilirin geldi\u011fi ama \u015febeke sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 da getirdi\u011fi i\u015flenmi\u015f. Elektrik M\u00fchendislerinin bu kadar bu vurguyu yapmas\u0131 bo\u015f de\u011fil, ama hepsi de daha fazla &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/2018\/01\/17-ocak-2018\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">17 Ocak 2018<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1687"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1687"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1687\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1689,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1687\/revisions\/1689"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barissanli.com\/eak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}