31 Mayıs 2017

Daha önceki önerilerimi genişletiyorum. Eposta üzerinden yardım isteyenlere cevabımı herkes ile paylaşayım. Petrol verilerini oottnews.com , tankertrackers.com ve jodidb.org ‘dan takip etmeye çalışıyorum. Jodi de gaz da var. Petrol verilerinde investing.com’un “Crude oil streaming” chart’ı çok başarılı, haberleri de üzerinde veriyor. Endüstri 4.0 konusunda hala Amazon’un inovasyonlarını takip etmeyi öneriyorum. Elektrikli arabalarda hızını anlamak için aylık satışlar. Güneş sektöründe Hindistan’ın hedefleri ve ABD’nin teşvik devamlılığı. Çin ekonomik ve metal verileri bence önemli. Günde yarım saat ayırıp iyi bir raporun da üzerinden geçmeye çalışıyorum. Tahminlerde yanılan tahminler neden yanılmış daha çok ilgimi çekiyor. Nature Energy hala gözde, IAEE Energy Journal’a bu sene tekrar üye olabilirim. Energyfuse, clipperdata, Greentechmedia, Timera Energy vs de ilginç analizler var. Tavsiyelere açığım

Haberler

PTC- Production Tax Credit’ler ABD’de yenilenebilire verilen teşviklerden. Geçen sene maliyeti 3.1 milyar$, bu sene 4 olacak. Enerji Bakanlığı raporu sonrası PTC bitebilir. Edison Elektrik Enstitüsü de çatı için azaltılmış teşvik taraftarı. Şeyl gibi yenilenebilirlerde de verimlilik zamanı yaklaşıyor.

Amazon önce kitap satış dükkan zincirlerini bitirdi, şimdi kendisi yenilerini açıyor. Tahmin: Al-çık dükkan modeli, kasaya uğrama

Avrupadaki 23 enerji ticareti şirketi Enerchain isimli kayıtzinciri(blockchain) sistemini test etmeye başlıyorlar. Enerchain Tendermint açık kaynak kodlu kayıtzinciri teknolojisi temelli.

“[Otomotiv] sektörü gelecek 10 yılda geçtiğimiz yüzyıldan daha fazla evrilecek”, Gilles Norman, Renault elektrikli araç bölüm başkanı. IEA’a göre verimlilik 11.6 mv/g, elektrikli arabalar 5.2 mv/g, diğer yakıtlar ~19mv/g, 2040 baz talebini aşağı çekebilir. 2040’da 2010 seviyesinde petrol tüketimi.

Hindistan, 12 büyük yerel terminalinin tüm enerjisini yenilenebilirden sağlayacak. 150 MW güneş, 50 MW rüzgar.

Petrol gaz da ilk çeyrek en önemli temalar, yatırım harcamasında yönlendirme, portföy optimizasyonu, maliyet kontrolü önemli.

GDF/Suez birleşmesinin doğal gaz hub fiyatlarına etkisi raporu

Bir modelleme eleştirisi olarak, Agora Energiewende’nin AB’nin yenilenebilir hedeflerindeki teknoloji maliyetlerinin daha düşük alınmasını öneren raporu kapsamlı

ABD dünya ticaret örgütünün 163 üyesine güneş hücre ithalatına acil “koruma” tarifeleri uygulamayı düşündüğünü belirtti. 22 Eylülde ABD ITC “ciddi zarar” kararı verirse, Trump’a 13 Kasım’da gidecek. ABDli üreticiler 2014’te %81.7 kapasite oranından 2016’da %28.9’a düştü. İç Pazar payı da %11’e

Gazprom ilk çeyrekte ithalatı %15 arttırarak 51 milyar m3 yaptı. 2016’da AB pazarındaki payı %34’e yükseldi. Gelirleri ilk çeyrekte %.4.4 artı. 31.1 milyar $. 165$/1000 m3 gibi bir hesap yaptım.

EIA, 2013’te yayınladığı öngörüde, ABD petrol üretiminin 2011’deki 5.7 mv/g’den referans senaryoda 2020’de 7.5 mv/g’e çıkacağını iddia etmiş. Nisan 2017 ABD üretimi 9.1 mv/g.

Çin’in Anhui bölgesindeki kömür zengini Huainan şehrinde en büyük yüzen güneş panelleri kuruldu. 40 MW. Su derinliği 4-10 metre. Tuzlu su en büyük düşmanı.

Trump Paris’ten ABD’yi çekecek. Paris’i desteklemeyen iki ülke: Nikaragua ve Suriye.

Küresel enerji verimliliği tahminlerin ötesinde başarı sağlamış.

Çin PMI verileri hiç de bir sıçrama hızlı yükseliş göstermiyor.

Grafik

Petrolün sonu nasıl olacak (Bloomberg)

Kömür devi Peabody nasıl değerinin küçük bir miktarına indi (Bloomberg)

Arşivde olması gerekir – Petrolde fiyat, üretimler, büyüme ve daralmalar

Enerji verimliliği de düşünüldüğünden daha başarılı ilerlemiş (GreenTechMedia)

 

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