29 Mayıs 2017

Bugün major piyasalar kapalı, haber akışı tatilde. Geçen hafta petrolde önemli haftaydı. Traderların istediği uzun-büyük kesinti olmayınca petrol fiyatları çalkalandı, Citi ise yanlış yapıyorsunuz demiş. Goldman Sachs PDVSA’nın borçlanma senedini aldı. Avustralya 1991’den beri teknik olarak resesyona girmemiş. Bence Çin etkisi. IMO’nun denizcilik yakıtlarındaki düşük sülfür kararından geri dönüş zor. Hafta sonu ABD’de sürüş sezonu başladı. Fiyatların artış göstereceği döneme giriyoruz. Enerji şirketleri 2017Ç4’te kendi kayıtzincirleri (blockchain)’i devreye alacak. Tarih’de Ameli Elektrikten devam..

Haberler

Geçen hafta: ham petrol Perşembe %5 düşüşten sonra Cuma toparlanmıştı. Brent haftalık kaybı %2.7 oldu. Daha uzun daha çok bekleniyordu. Cuma günü de 19.haftada da Baker Hughes kule sayısı arttı(+2).

Bu hafta: Bugün piyasa kapalı, Çarşamba API ABD petrol arz; Perşembe EIA petrol,benzin, doğalgaz stok ve Cuma Baker Hughes sondaj kule rakamları

Fransa’da tanker sürücüleri grevi petrol istasyonları benzinsiz bırakabilir.

Otonom arabalarda, sadece ABD’de 488 Milyar $ kazaların önlenmesinden, 158 M$ yakıt tasarrufu, 11M$ trafik sıkışıklığındaki yakıt harcaması, 507 M$ üretkenlik, 138 M$’da sıkışıklık önlenmesinden iyileşme imkanı var.

ABD’de özel araçlarda otonom sürüş çalışılırken, Avrupa’da toplu taşımada çalışmalar yapılıyor.

Citi’ye göre geçen hafta OPEC kararının ardından petrol fiyat düşüşü yersiz. 2017 2.çeyrek sonu 60$/v Brent fiyatı sürpriz olmaz. Fiyat neden düştü? Traderlar daha uzun daha fazla kesinti bekliyordu

Avrupadaki büyük enerji şirketleri (Enel, RWE), toptan elektrik ve doğalgaz piyasalarında 2017 4.çeyrekte çalışmaya başlayacak sistem Enerchain. Daha önce de Vattenfall ve Tennet şebeke operatörü bu teknolojileri test etmişti. 20,000 euro veren projeye katılıyormuş

Malawi’de tartışmalara yol açan, petrol anlaşmaları internette. 6 bloktaki, 6 lisans 2011-2013’te ihale edilmişti. 2014’te ise eksik anlaşmalar hükümet tarafından imzalanmıştı. Şimdi ek yapmaya çalışıyorlar

IMO’dan Hughes’la yapılan röportajda, kükürt oranının düşürülmesine konu MARPOL Annex VI’nin değiştirilmesinin en az 22 ay süreceği, zaten adım adım kükürt düşüşlerinin devam ettiği, 1997’de %4.5, 2008’de %3.5, sonra da 0.5%. 1 Ocak 2020 uygulama tarihi, S&P raporu kapsamlı

Irak’ta Meksika gibi üretimini korumak(hedge) isteyebilir. Fikir aşamasında, ama geçen ay SOMO, Dubai Ticaret Borsası (DME)’de ilk kargosunu sattı. Adım adım finansal araçlara geçiş aranıyor…

Goldman Sachs, 2022’de vadesi dolan Petroleos de Venezuela hisselerinden 2.8 milyar $ aldı. Muhalefet ateş püskürüyor. Olay Citgo rafinerisinin Ruslara kayması ile de ilgili olabilir.

“Dünyanın düşük karbonlu ve iklime dayanıklı bir ekonomisi olması bu yüzyılın büyüme hikayesi”, Joseph Stiglitz ve Nicholas Stern. Güçlü karbon fiyatı gerekiyor. 2020’ye 40-80$, 2030’a 50-100$

Merkel’in uluslar arası toplantılardaki iklim değişikliği çağrılarına rağmen, gerek araba üreticilerini gerekse de kömür santrallerini kayırması ağır eleştirilmiş. İklim değişikliğine bakışı “çelişkili”. Almanya sera gazı emisyonlarındaki azalmanın yarısı doğu Almanya’nın rehabilitasyonundanmış.

Rusya 2012,2014’ten beri yerli malzeme/katkı zorunluluğu uyguluyor. 2017 için bu oran %10. Bugünden itibaren 9 Haziran’a kadar iki kademede 1.9 GW yenilenebilir ihalesi olacak.

Avustralya 1991’den beri teknik olarak resesyon, yani iki çeyrek arka arkaya negatif büyüme görmemiş. Fakat sallanıyor. Bu çeyrek Debbie Fırtınası, Kuzey Queensland’de kömür ithalatı %70 düştü.

İngiltere AB’nin yenilenebilir ve verimlilik hedeflerini Brexit’e rağmen zayıflatmak istemekle suçlanmış. Belgeler internette.

Doğalgazın geleceği kitabı (tekrar veriliyor).

ISTRADE 2017 videoları.

Grafik

ABD’de elektrik piyasalarında belirli bölgelerde belirlenen hedef rezerv marjinleri ve fazla kapasite

Bir hizmet olarak ulaştırmanın(TaaS) payı (RethinkX)

Tarih

Ameli Elektrik, Silahtarağa’nın yeni jeneratörleri (Salt Research) Kasım 1931

56 thoughts on “29 Mayıs 2017”

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