28 Nisan 2017

ABD’de offshore aramacılığı da hızlanacak, bugün ki Trump kararnamesi ile. Serkan’ın TReuters’deki yorumu ABD’deki şeyl gelişimini etkileyen faktörler için önemli(aşağıda), ayrıca öngörüleri de eklemiş(grafikte). VW elektrikli araçlar niş kalır 20 milyar€ geleneksel verimli 9 milyar€ alternatif yakıtlılara yatırıyor. Dijital verimlilik… Acaba bu icad kavramların ortalama yaşam ömrü ne kadar 5-7 yıl? Endüstri 4.0’ı inceledim ama sanki Amazon’un yaptıklarından Almanların anladığı…Tersini bilen mail atarsa sevinirim

Öneri

2016/17 kışı AB elektrik piyasasına dair

Haberler

Trump bugün Obama döneminde yasaklanan Arktik okyanusu, Alaska’nın kuzeyindeki hemen hemen tüm alanlardaki yasağı kaldırmış oluyor. Buralarda derin deniz petrol üretim sondajları yapılabilecek.

VW CEOsu “elektrikli mobilite niş olmaya devam edecek”. Geçen sene 750,000 elektrikli araba üretilmiş, küresel pazarın %0.9. 2025 gibi VW araçların ¾ ü hala dizel ve benzin motoru ile çalışır demiş. 2022’ye daha verimli motorlar için 20 milyar €, alternatif yakıtlı motor yatırımlarını 3 misline çıkarıyorlar 9 milyar €

2016/17 kışı AB elektrik piyasasına dair: fiyatların ne kadar nükleer güvenlik sorunlarına bağlı olduğunu gösterdi. Fransa’nın nükleer santrallerinin önemi… Almanya’da 2022’ye kadar 26 GW nükleer ve termal santral devreden çıkacak. Yüksek fiyatlar ve dengesizlik AB piyasalarından yeni düzen olur

Geçen ay Çin, 9.17 mv/g petrol ithal etti. Ama 5 Mayıs’tan itibaren rafinericilerin petrol ithalat başvurularını kabul etmeyecek. İç piyasada rafineri kapasite fazlası var. 2015’ten beri 22 bağımsız rafinericiye 1.64mv/g izin vermişti.

Trump’un ilk 100 gününde, petrol, değerli metal ve tarım ürünlerindeki gelişmeler: Petrol’de Serkan’ın yorumu var: Hidrokarbon yatırımları artacak, Dakota Access Pipeline’a hemen onay verdi, Bakken’daki petrolü doğu yakasına ulaştıracak. Daha önce yüksek taşıma(tren) sebebiyle dezavantajlıydı.

Henry hub ABD LNG ihracatındaki taban fiyatı belirliyor. Tüm ABD LNG terminalleri devreye girerse 105 bcm ek talep demek. 2016’da ABD’nin toplam gaz talebi 810 bcm. ABD kuru gaz üretimi de 2016’da %0.6 düşerek 740.43 oldu. Elektrik sektörü 281 bcm tüketti. 2015’e göre %3.2 2014’e göre %21.3 yukarıda

ABD’de kamyonlar tarafından taşınan tonaj tüm zamanların en yüksek seviyesinde. Ticari taşımacılığın %58’i kamyonlarla. 2000’den bu yana %24 artmış. 2027’ye de %27 artacak.

Energy Star, 25 yaşında ve tanınan bir marka. Fakat ABD yönetimi tırpanlayacak gibi. 2010’da yaşanan skandalda ABD sayıştayı (GAO) ürün geliştirici gibi davranıp uydurma ürünlere Energy Star etiketi almış. Los Angeles’ta Energy Star etiketli ev %20 daha az tüketiyormuş. Cumhuriyetçiler niye karşı, yazıda.

Dün yayınlanan 2016 finansal raporunda Gazprom’un daha az satışı petrole endeksli. Gapzprom’un net geliri 17.5 milyar $. Rekor 178.3 bcm = Avrupa+Türkiye-SSCB ülkeleri. Fakat $ olarak satışlar %1.1 düşerek 37.5 milyar $. 2015’te 246$ olan fiyat 2015’te 176$’a düştü. 178.3 bcm toplam satışın %48’i. 2015’te %41 miş.

Dijital verimlilik,(GE’nin icadı) dün de zeki(intelligent) verimlilik kavramı vardı. GE elektrik üretim sektöründe 14 milyar $ ve 495 mt/yıl verimlilik iddia ediyor. Kara ulaştırmada 20 milyar $. Aydınlatma 30 milyar $. GE’nin dijital güç santrali (gerçeğin dijital ikizi) 5 GW Futtsu /Japonyada. Bakımı izleyerek belirliyorlar.

 

Grafik

ABD’de 3 önemli şeyl aranında üretim tahmini (TReuters)

Crude oil output for major shale oil basins - Thomson Reuters Oil Research
ABD gaz grafikleri

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  249. I must thank you for the efforts you have put in penning this blog. I’m hoping to see the same high-grade blog posts by you later on as well. In truth, your creative writing abilities has motivated me to get my own, personal site now 😉

  250. An impressive share! I have just forwarded this onto a friend who was doing a little research on this. And he actually ordered me lunch due to the fact that I found it for him… lol. So let me reword this…. Thanks for the meal!! But yeah, thanx for spending some time to discuss this subject here on your site.

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  252. Your style is so unique in comparison to other people I have read stuff from. Many thanks for posting when you have the opportunity, Guess I will just bookmark this blog.

  253. Aw, this was an incredibly nice post. Spending some time and actual effort to generate a really good article… but what can I say… I procrastinate a whole lot and don’t seem to get anything done.

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