22 Şubat 2017

Bugün yollarda geçti. ABD’de verimlilik istihdamı yüksekmiş, en çok rüzgar türbini satanlarda Vestas bir numara olduğunu iddia etmiş. Shell’ın gaz da arz fazlası yok demesine, ANEA-UK NBP fiyat farkı neden 1$ civarı diye post yazılmış. OPEC tartışma konusu, OPECbahçe diyelim siz anlayın. Clipper data petrol fiyatları ile ilgili önemli bir analiz paylaşmış, ürün stokları şişince rafineriler çalışmayı azaltıyor, o zaman da ham petrol stokları şişiyor, yani ürün ve ham petrol fiyatları arasında bir faz farkı var. RWE bayağı zarar yazmış. 4 milyon güneş paneli uzaydan nasıl görülür. ABD Henry hub fiyatları ve gelecek grafiği de güzel

Bilgiler

Vestas, dünya rüzgar türbini üreticileri arasındaki liderliğini ilan etti. 2016’da 8.7 GW Vestas türbini kuruldu. Dünyadaki tüm kara türbinlerinin %16sı. GE 6.5 GW ile ikinci, geçen seneden 0.6 GW daha yüksek, Xinjiang goldwind 6.4 GW ile 3.sıraya düştü.

OPEC kesintiye sadık mı? Petro-Logistics ‘in verilerine göre Ocak’tan önceki büyük artışın ardından kesinti gibi görünen aslında 2016’ya dönüş.

Clipperdata’dan: Petrol ürünleri fiyatı, ham petrol fiyatlarını bir bekleme ile takip eder, sebebi stoklar. Yüksek ürün stokları rafineri çalışma miktarlarını düşürmeye başladı. Rafineri çalışması düşünce de ham petrol stokları artabilir.

ABD’n ın 10 şubat haftası verilerine göre ham petrol ihracatı 1 mv/g’e çıktı. 2015’te bu rakam 65,000 v/g iken 2016’da ortalama 530,000 v/g’ü buldu. Fakat artış sınırlı kaldı. ABD’deki ağır ham petrol Asya’daki küçük rafinerilere gidiyor. Rafineriler şeylden bu yana daha fazla sıkı (tight) petrol almak üzere rafinerilerini ayarladılar.

Argusmedia yazarlarından Kwok Wan’ın Shell’in “LNG de arz fazlası görmediği” haberine yorumu “kahve içerken boğuluyordum”. Shell güçlü arz ve talep artışı vekliyor. Yazar ANEA (Kuzey doğu Asya) ile İngiltere NBP arasındaki farka bakmayı öneriyor. Fark 2013 Ocaktaki 6.26$/mmbtu’dan 1.18$/mmbtu’ya düşmüş. Bu da mı gol değil diye soruyor

ABD’de enerji verimliliği işleri 2016’da %6 arttı. 2017’de %9 artması bekleniyor. AB’de de kış paketinde de yoğun istihdam artışı öngörülmüştü. ABD’de 3 milyon kişi temiz enerji işlerinde çalışıyor, 2.2 milyon kişi de enerji verimliliği işlerinde

Suudi arabistan’da rafineri üretimi %0.2 artarken, talep %2.1 (aydan aya artmış. Petrol ürünlerinde ihracat %7.3 düşerken ithalat %9.7 düşmüş.

WTI 52.68’i aşağı kırarsa, 51.60$’a gider.

Almanya’da elektrik fiyatları 2008 pikten bu yana %66 düştü. 2012’den beri %40 düştü. RWE üstüste ikinci sene olarak sıradan hisselere temettü ödeyemeyecek. 4.3 milyar euro zarar yazdı. Ülkenin en büyük elektrik üreticileri son 3 yılda 30 milyar euro varlık değeri düştüler.

4 milyon güneş paneli uzaydan nasıl görülür Doğu Çin’deki Tibet platosundaki 10 mil kare alanda Longyangxia Dam Solar Park 850 MW. Çin 2015’te yenilenebilire 103 milyar $ yatırmıştı.

Grafik

NYMEX WTI petrol oynaklığı ve beklentisi (BNP Paribas, Bloomberg)

ABD Henry hub fiyatları ve o tarihteki gelecek fiyatları (gri dalga), BNEF

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