27 Ekim 2016

Word: https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B3RIv3pMNaTdX05QWndhc2RWX1k

Bugün kısa tuttum, tek sayfa. OPEC meselesi evlilik programına döndü. ABD’deki internet saldırısı aynı “yalnız kurt” saldırılarına benziyor. Ülkeler arası siber savaş naraları atarken, biri IoT’leri hackleyip, 7500$’a saldırı yapıyor. Çok çok tehlikeli, smart grid geleceğini tehlikeye atar. Bugün ki tweetlerden biri hem komik hem trajik,”OPEC toplantısına ABD’de çağrılsın en azından toplantıda ABD enerji bakanı piyasayı dengelemek için 1.2 mv/g kesinti yaptıklarını söyler”. Droneları vurmak için 3-5 veya 18kW lazer sistemleri çok mantıklı, 2018’de devreye giriyor. Sağlam soğuk hava geliyor. İstanbul daha çok etkilenecek gibi

Bilgiler

Moody’s in Rusya enerji şirketlerini değerlendirmesine göre: 1)bu fiyatta da karlılar, 45$ olsa da kardalar, 2) Post Sovyet dönemi rekoru 11.1 mv/g eylül rekoru

Leviathan’dan Kıbrıs üzerinden Yunanistan’a boru hattı 5.7 milyar $’a mal olurmuş. AB projeyi Project of Common Interest (PCI) olarak değerlendiriyor. Yunanistan 2.5 milyar m3, İtalya 60-70 milyar m3 gaz tüketiyor. Boru hattı, 1300km, 24 veya 32 inch, 16 milyar m3/yıl. Kmsi 4.3 milyon $’a mal olur. Gaz İsrail’den 5$’a satılsa, gelişi 8$

GE, Brezilyada 1500 MW’lık doğalgaz santrali için 900 milyon$lık ihaleyi kazandı. Alstom’u alarak elde ettiği şebeke iletim sistemlerini de paket haline getirerek proje kW başına 150$ geliri, 300$’a çıkarmayı planlıyor. Haberde bir matematik sorun var

Asya petrol piyasasında mevsimsel rafineri ayarlamaları sebebi ile benzin marjı Singapur’da 9.82$’a gasoil (dizele çevrilebilir) 13.11$’a çıktı. Stoklar düştü. Oysa Çin’in artan bir dizel (295.400 v/g) ve benzin (215.000 v/g) ihracatı var.

Suudi petrol şirketi Çin, Hindistan ve Vietnam’da rafineriler yapıyor. Rus Rosneft Hindistan’da rafineri satın aldı. Nijerya ve Angola ABD piyasasına ithalatlarını 3’e katladılar. “Daha çok petrol üretip daha ucuza satıp, bütçeyi denkleştiremiyorsun, nokta bu”. Bu OPEC işi de evlilik programına döndü.

Yunanistan elektrik şebeke operatörü ADMIE satışında haftaya “iyi haber” bekliyor. Teklifler değerlendiriliyor.

4.çeyrekte petrol ürün fiyatlarında Avrupada artış yaşanabilir. Suudilerin Yasref (400bin v/g) ve Ras Tanura tesisi (530bin v/g) bu çeyrekte bakıma alınacak. Avrupa dizel talebinin de 300bin v/g daha yükselerek 6.8 mv/g olması bekleniyor.

Amerikadaki internet kesintisinin sebebi, akıllı cihazlar, Internet of Things şeklinde açıklandı. Anlaşıldığı kadarı ile Çinli bir teknoloji şirketi olan XiongMai Technologies’in DVR ve IP kameralarına yüklenen bir yazılım ile yapılmış. Yapılan araştırmalarda, 7500$’a böyle bir saldırı öneren bir mesaj da bulundu. Saldırı sivil, devletten değil dendi.

Fransız Engie, dünyanın en büyük bağımsız elektrik üreticisi, Asya pasifikde gaz ve yenilenebilir projeler konusunda genişlemeye çalışıyor. Endonezya’da 150 MW gaz, Sumatra’da 100 MW jeotermal, Moğolistanda 50 MW rüzgar vs

Fransız GTT (cryojenik membran sistemi sahibi), Daewoo gemi yapımından iki gemi için sipariş aldı. 2019’da teslim edilecek. Daha önce de Mark V teknolojisi için sipariş almış. Mark V teknolojisi günlük buharlaşmayı tank hacminin %0.07ine düşürüyormuş

ABD’deki bir sonraki kıyıötesi(offshore) rüzgar türbini Erie gölündeki 20.7 MW türbin olacak.

Trafigura’nın bir yöneticisi Brezilya’da PetroBras skandalı ile ilgili olarak tutuklandı. 2013’de Trafigura bir ortak ile demir cevheri limanı ihalesi kazanmıştı

Grafik

OPEC ve OPEC-dışı üretim – yıldan yıla artış (FT-IEA)

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