30 Eylül 2016

Word: https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B3RIv3pMNaTddkZPM0VwNlhGZ1U

Bugün ki teorim, petrol fiyatlarını yukarıda tutan bence Çinliler. OPEC karar alabilirse daima etkilidir ama etkinin süresi ve faydasının kime olacağı tartışılır. Çin KİT’lerinin petrol de çok para harcadığı yanlış yatırımları olduğu haber yapılmıştı. Bu durumda ben Çin olsam petrol fiyatı düştükçe bolca stoklar ve stok bilgisi vermem sanki talep gibi gözükür ve yaptığım yatırımları daha kötü göstermez. Aklımda kalan soru “dünya 2 tane salınan(swing) üreticiyi kaldırabilir mi?”. Yazdıklarımla ilgili hem feedback hem öneri ve yanlışlarımın bulup gönderilmesi çok güzel. Inovasyon etkileşimin sonucudur.

Bilgiler

BMW elektrikli arabalar serisine 2019 ve 2020’de BMW X3 ve elektrik mini ile Mercedes’e cevap verecek. VW, 2025’te 30 elektrikli model planlıyor. Alman arabaları değişirse, Türkiye’deki araç dağılımı da değişir.

Nijerya’da OPL 245 adlı bir petrol arama alan bloğu Malabu diye varlığı olmayan bir şirkete verilmiş. Sonra aşama aşama Malabu’dan Shell & ENI’ye 1.3 milyar $’a geçmiş. İddialar İngiltere tarafından inceleme altındaymış.

Baker Hughes ABD petrol kuyusu +7 artarak 425, doğal gaz +4 artarak 96 oldu.

7 MW, 34 MWh enerji depolama projesi ile Advanced Microgrid Solution and Irvine Ranch Water District arasında, 11 su pompalama noktasına yerleştirerek şebekeye destek sağlayacak. Aslında TR’deki tüm su pompa istasyonları talep yönetimine katılabilir.

AB’de Paris iklim değişikliğini onayladı. Emisyonların %55’ini temsil eden en az 55 ülke imzaladığında anlaşma devreye giriyor.

Deepwater Horizon, 2010’da BP’nin deniz altında petrol sızdıran kuyusuydu.3 milyon varil petrol Meksika körfezine dağılmıştı. Temizlemek BP’ye 62 milyar $’a mal oldu.Bu hafta filmi sinemalarda. BP filmin gerçekleri yansıtmadığını düşünüyor.

Rusya bütçe hesaplamalarında önümüzdeki 3 yıl petrol fiyatını 40$/varil alacak. Rusya’nın %3.2 olarak hesaplanan bütçe açığı bu sene %3.7 olacak (GSYİH’nın %si). Rusya’daki “bütçe kuralı”, kararlaştırılan petrol fiyatı üzerinde petrol fiyatı ile gelen gelirlerin harcanmasını engelleyerek, ekonomiyi petrol fiyat oynaklıklarından koruyor.

Suudi stratejisi “petrol 20$ olsa da önemli değil”’den, daha realist bir noktaya gelmiş olabilirler.

Uydu verilerine göre Orbital Insight, Çin’in Mayısta 600 milyon varil petrol stokladığını iddia etmiş. Orbital Insight machine learning algoritmaları ile uydu fotoğraflarında tank stoklarının tepe kapaklarındaki gölgelerden tespit ediyorlar. Daha önceki tespitler 400 milyon varil civarındaydı. Çin’in mevcut kapasite ile 900 milyon varil petrol stoklayabileceği iddia ediliyor.

 

Grafik

OPEC kararı ile neredeyse 1 günde ABD’deki en büyük petrol şirketlerinin değeri 36 milyar $ arttı.

Tarih

19 Temmuz 1968, 1 milyara nükleer santral kuruluyor

 

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